SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
70.76% ( -2.25) | 18.11% ( 1.26) | 11.12% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -2.93) | 43.77% ( 2.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% ( -2.93) | 66.16% ( 2.93) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( -1.35) | 11.11% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.48% ( -3.05) | 35.52% ( 3.05) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.04) | 47.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.92% ( -0.03) | 83.08% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 2-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.54)4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.38)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.62% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.6) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.11% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.57% Total : 11.12% |
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