SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
52.04% ( 1.33) | 25.91% ( -0.56) | 22.05% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( 1.28) | 56.7% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( 1.02) | 77.65% ( -1.02) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 1.12) | 21.86% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( 1.67) | 55.1% ( -1.68) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.04) | 41.07% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.38% ( -0.04) | 77.61% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.03% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.05% |
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