SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.87%) and 2-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
31.93% ( -0.01) | 20.64% ( 0.01) | 47.43% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 72.93% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.6% ( -0.03) | 25.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.56% ( -0.04) | 45.44% ( 0.04) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.02) | 17.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( -0.03) | 47.86% ( 0.04) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( -0) | 11.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.22% ( -0.02) | 36.78% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 5.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 47.43% |
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