SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.91%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
31.48% ( 0.17) | 19.64% ( -0.01) | 48.88% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 76.64% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.33% ( 0.15) | 20.66% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.96% ( 0.21) | 39.03% ( -0.22) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( 0.15) | 15.24% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.07% ( 0.29) | 43.92% ( -0.3) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.42% ( 0.01) | 9.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.97% ( 0.03) | 32.02% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.71% Total : 31.48% | 2-2 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.64% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.53% ( 0)3-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.54% Total : 48.88% |
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