SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Granada |
53.13% ( -0.06) | 25.14% ( 0.03) | 21.74% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( -0.09) | 54.19% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -0.08) | 75.6% ( 0.08) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.06) | 20.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( -0.1) | 52.81% ( 0.1) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( -0.03) | 39.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( -0.03) | 76.61% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.74% |
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