SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Granada |
45.41% ( 0.16) | 27.67% ( 0.05) | 26.93% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.62% ( -0.28) | 59.38% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% ( -0.21) | 79.76% ( 0.21) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( -0.05) | 26.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( -0.06) | 61.18% ( 0.06) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( -0.33) | 38.07% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( -0.32) | 74.84% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.4% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.93% |
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