SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Granada |
46.07% ( -0.03) | 27.61% ( -0.01) | 26.32% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( 0.05) | 59.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( 0.04) | 79.86% ( -0.04) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.01) | 25.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( 0.01) | 60.81% ( -0.01) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% ( 0.06) | 38.66% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.59% ( 0.06) | 75.4% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.32% |
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