Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
