Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.