Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Troyes
41.31% ( 0.07)	26.62% ( -0.04)	32.07% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

0.16)

53.44% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

0.13)

74.96% (

-0.13)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

0.11)

25.51% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.64% (

0.15)

60.35% (

-0.15)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

0.06)

31.01% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

0.07)

67.32% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Red Star 41.31%

Troyes 32.07%

Draw 26.62%

Red Star	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 32.07%