Last Game: Troyes 2-1 Metz Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.