Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Metz
38.46% ( -0.89)	27.44%	34.1% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.76% (

0.13)

56.23% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72% (

0.1)

77.28% (

-0.11)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-0.45)

28.38% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

-0.57)

64.13% (

0.57)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93% (

0.66)

31.07% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

0.76)

67.39% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Troyes 38.46%

Metz 34.09%

Draw 27.43%

Troyes	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.46%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.09%