Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
-0.56) 
0.06) 
