Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Troyes |
43.92% ( 0.14) | 27.18% ( 0.07) | 28.9% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.28% ( -0.35) | 56.71% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% ( -0.28) | 77.67% ( 0.28) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.09) | 25.65% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.12) | 60.54% ( 0.12) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% ( -0.35) | 35.02% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% ( -0.36) | 71.77% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Caen | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.9% |
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