Nice have prided themselves on defensive discipline all season long, but with Todibo still on the naughty step and Thuram in the treatment room, Les Aiglons' hopes of another clean sheet at Roazhon Park are slim to say the least.
Farioli's title chasers have had Rennes' number over the past 12 months, though, and given the hosts' rearguard frailties on home soil, a share of the spoils could be on the cards here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0) 
