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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
N

Rennes
2 - 1
Nice

Terrier (5'), Bourigeaud (89')
Bourigeaud (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barkley (21')
Bard (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Rennes
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lens
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 1-1 Nice

There has been little to separate these two sides in recent meetings and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Monday. Rennes will fancy their chances on home soil, but we can see Nice extending their unbeaten run by earning a hard-fought point at the Roazhon Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawNice
62.08% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 20.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 17.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.89% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)42.11% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (-0.055 -0.05)64.51% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)13.02% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.44% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)39.56% (0.07 0.07)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 62.08%
    Nice 17.19%
    Draw 20.73%
RennesDrawNice
2-0 @ 10.25%
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 62.08%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.73%
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56%
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 3-1 Rennes
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Feyenoord
Friday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 4-3 Celtic
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, November 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lens
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Nice
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Nice
Friday, November 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Nice
Sunday, October 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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