This season's pattern suggests that a draw will not be surprising in what could be a low-scoring affair in Nice, but the home side are backed to edge Sunday's game over Rennes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
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