SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
36.5% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( 0.01) | 35.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% ( -0.03) | 77.61% ( 0.02) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.03) | 29.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.18% ( -0.04) | 65.82% ( 0.04) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0) | 30.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0) | 66.25% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.92% |
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