SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
45.15% ( -0.7) | 24.86% ( 0.28) | 29.99% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( -1.02) | 46.86% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( -0.96) | 69.11% ( 0.96) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( -0.72) | 20.81% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.52% ( -1.15) | 53.48% ( 1.15) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.23) | 29.12% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -0.28) | 65.04% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.99% |
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