SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
58.77% ( 0.02) | 22.28% ( 0.13) | 18.94% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( -0.75) | 46.17% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( -0.71) | 68.46% ( 0.71) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( -0.25) | 15.37% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( -0.47) | 44.15% ( 0.47) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( -0.59) | 38.29% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.95% ( -0.57) | 75.05% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.77% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.94% |
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