SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave |
39.12% ( -0.32) | 26.75% ( -0.32) | 34.12% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( 1.36) | 53.54% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( 1.14) | 75.05% ( -1.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( 0.46) | 26.73% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( 0.6) | 62% ( -0.6) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 1.1) | 29.71% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( 1.31) | 65.77% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.12% |
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