SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Rio Ave |
33.55% ( 0.04) | 25.09% | 41.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( 0.01) | 46.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.01) | 68.81% ( -0.01) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.03) | 26.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( 0.04) | 61.9% ( -0.04) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.01) | 22.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( -0.02) | 55.94% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.36% |
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