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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
RA

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Silva (63' pen.)
Ribeiro (20'), Borevkovic (30'), Varela (86'), Carlos (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nobrega (26'), Aderlan (60'), Graca (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Rio Ave

Vitoria Guimaraes have already shown this season that they are able to compete with the best on their day, as they did when they beat Sporting at this venue a couple of weeks ago. While Rio Ave have been difficult to beat lately, we feel that they will struggle to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawRio Ave
53.44% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 24.16% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 22.4% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)49.68% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.7% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (0.048999999999992 0.05)18.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)49.75% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (0.032000000000004 0.03)36.76% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.032 0.03)73.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.44%
    Rio Ave 22.4%
    Draw 24.15%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-1 Vilaverdense
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Porto
Saturday, November 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Boavista
Sunday, November 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-4 Farense
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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