SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Fylde |
50.68% ( 0.1) | 22.97% ( 0.01) | 26.35% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( -0.14) | 40.73% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( -0.15) | 63.12% ( 0.15) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.02) | 16.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( -0.03) | 45.72% ( 0.04) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -0.16) | 28.57% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( -0.2) | 64.36% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 26.35% |
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