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National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
AT

Rochdale
2 - 1
Aldershot

Keohane (42'), Mitchell (79')
Clayton (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barham (37')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Rochdale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawAldershot Town
50.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 22.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.27% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.97% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)37.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.79% (-0.012 -0.01)59.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.97% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 50.38%
    Aldershot Town 27.27%
    Draw 22.35%
RochdaleDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Rochdale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-3 Rochdale
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 3-4 Oldham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Swindon 4-7 Aldershot
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 4-2 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League


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