Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Aldershot Town
50.38% ( 0.02)	22.35% ( -0)	27.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.94% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97% (

-0.01)

37.02% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.79% (

-0.01)

59.21% (

0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

14.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58% (

43.41% (

-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.02)

25.97% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

-0.02)

60.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 50.38%

Aldershot Town 27.27%

Draw 22.35%

Rochdale	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.14% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.27%