SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rochdale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Aldershot Town |
50.38% ( 0.02) | 22.35% ( -0) | 27.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.97% ( -0.01) | 37.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( -0.01) | 59.21% ( 0.01) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( 0) | 14.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.58% ( 0) | 43.41% ( -0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.02) | 25.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( -0.02) | 60.98% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.14% Total : 50.38% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.27% |
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