SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | York City |
45.37% ( 0.05) | 23.71% ( -0.03) | 30.91% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.62% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.81% ( 0.11) | 41.18% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( 0.11) | 63.57% ( -0.11) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( 0.06) | 18.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( 0.11) | 49.57% ( -0.11) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.04) | 25.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% ( 0.05) | 60.6% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.91% |
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