SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
47.68% ( -0.31) | 23.23% ( 0.09) | 29.09% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( -0.28) | 39.9% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( -0.29) | 62.26% ( 0.29) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -0.23) | 17.01% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( -0.4) | 47.14% ( 0.4) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0) | 26.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( 0.01) | 61.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.13% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.09% |
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