SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
31.21% ( -0.97) | 24.24% ( -0.35) | 44.54% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( 1.22) | 43.51% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( 1.19) | 65.9% ( -1.19) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( -0.02) | 26.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( -0.02) | 61.87% ( 0.02) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 1.09) | 19.7% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( 1.74) | 51.7% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.54% |
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