SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Lazio |
37.11% ( -0.19) | 26.34% ( -0.03) | 36.55% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% ( 0.13) | 51.61% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( 0.11) | 73.4% ( -0.12) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.05) | 26.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -0.06) | 62.31% ( 0.06) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.19) | 27.29% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( 0.25) | 62.73% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.11% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 36.55% |
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