SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Roma |
29.19% ( -0.06) | 25.87% ( 0.02) | 44.94% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.11) | 51.53% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.1) | 73.33% ( 0.1) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.1) | 32.08% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.11) | 68.55% ( 0.12) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.03) | 22.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( -0.05) | 56.61% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.93% |
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