SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Slovakia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Romania had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Romania win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Netherlands |
26.11% ( -0.46) | 26.82% ( -0.1) | 47.07% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% ( 0.09) | 56.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% ( 0.07) | 77.79% ( -0.07) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.34) | 37.38% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( -0.34) | 74.17% ( 0.33) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.31) | 24.17% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% ( 0.44) | 58.5% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Romania | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.71% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.07% |
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