With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
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