Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.