SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
79.71% ( 0.93) | 13.4% ( -0.52) | 6.89% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.92) | 35.65% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.29% ( 1.01) | 57.71% ( -1.01) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.96% ( 0.39) | 7.03% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.3% ( 1.04) | 25.7% ( -1.04) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.31% ( -0.46) | 51.69% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.2% ( -0.3) | 85.8% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.84% Total : 79.7% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.61% Total : 13.4% | 0-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.39% Total : 6.89% |
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