SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Southampton |
13.28% ( -0.19) | 18.38% ( 0.12) | 68.34% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.62% ( -1.06) | 39.37% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.28% ( -1.12) | 61.71% ( 1.11) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.97) | 41.37% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( -0.87) | 77.89% ( 0.86) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.48% ( -0.28) | 10.52% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.79% ( -0.62) | 34.21% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.28% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.38% | 0-2 @ 11.03% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.37)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 7.31% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
