SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Charleroi |
51.82% ( 0.12) | 22.49% ( 0.11) | 25.69% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.95% ( -0.71) | 39.05% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0.75) | 61.38% ( 0.75) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.21) | 15.22% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% ( -0.4) | 43.87% ( 0.4) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.54) | 28.17% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( -0.7) | 63.86% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.82% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 25.69% |
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