SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Union SG |
25.33% ( -0.44) | 23.61% ( -0.21) | 51.06% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.57) | 44.51% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( 0.55) | 66.88% ( -0.55) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( -0.05) | 31.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( -0.05) | 67.73% ( 0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( 0.46) | 17.48% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.03% ( 0.79) | 47.97% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.62% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.06% |
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