SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Charleroi |
41.93% ( -0.15) | 25.99% ( -0.04) | 32.08% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( 0.23) | 50.87% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( 0.2) | 72.75% ( -0.2) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( 0.03) | 24.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( 0.04) | 58.31% ( -0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 0.25) | 29.71% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( 0.3) | 65.77% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.08% |
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