Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Mechelen
39.66% ( 0.37)	24.57% ( -0.05)	35.77% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 59.21% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

0.19)

43.74% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87% (

0.18)

66.12% (

-0.19)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97% (

0.27)

22.03% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.64% (

0.4)

55.36% (

-0.41)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

-0.1)

24.06% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67% (

-0.13)

58.33% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 39.66%

Mechelen 35.77%

Draw 24.57%

Charleroi	Draw	Mechelen
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.66%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 35.77%