SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
41.74% ( -0.17) | 24.5% ( 0.2) | 33.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -0.93) | 43.8% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( -0.91) | 66.19% ( 0.92) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.47) | 21.07% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( -0.74) | 53.88% ( 0.75) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.45) | 25.23% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.63) | 59.97% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.75% |
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