Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 98%. A draw had a probability of 1.7% and a win for Ruffiac Malestroit had a probability of 0.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-4 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (14.02%) and 0-3 (12.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.76%), while for a Ruffiac Malestroit win it was 1-0 (0.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.