Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.13) 
