Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
30.86% ( -0.23)	25.93% ( -0.15)	43.21% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.97% (

0.52)

51.03% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1% (

0.45)

72.89% (

-0.45)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37% (

0.11)

30.62% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.13% (

0.12)

66.86% (

-0.12)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

0.41)

23.48% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

0.59)

57.5% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 30.86%

Tokyo Verdy 43.2%

Draw 25.93%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.86%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.2%