SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Welling United |
46.52% ( -0.05) | 24.24% ( 0.01) | 29.23% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.02) | 44.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.03) | 66.89% ( 0.03) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( -0.03) | 19.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( -0.05) | 51% ( 0.05) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( 0.01) | 28.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( 0.02) | 64.22% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.23% |
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