SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Worthing |
36.65% ( -0.13) | 23.68% ( -0.16) | 39.68% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.76) | 39.32% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.79) | 61.66% ( -0.78) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 0.28) | 21.58% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( 0.42) | 54.67% ( -0.42) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( 0.46) | 20.12% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( 0.73) | 52.38% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.68% |
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