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National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
4 - 1
Welling United

Gillmore (50' og.), Klass (53'), Alexander (74', 82')
Klass (45+1'), Bird (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chukwu (1')
Winfield (14'), Kelly (56')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-5 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-4 Chippenham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWelling United
55.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.33%21.42% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.35% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (0.0039999999999907 0)17% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)47.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)73.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 55.24%
    Welling United 21.42%
    Draw 23.33%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-5 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 3-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-4 Chippenham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Enfield Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Welling United
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League South


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