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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
5 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Ragguette (71', 73'), Fasanmade (77'), Perez (82', 87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Iaciofano (15'), Howe (42')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Salisbury
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-7 Dorking
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.

Result
SalisburyDrawHemel Hempstead Town
37.25% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 26.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 35.97% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (-0.058 -0.06)53.45% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)74.98% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)28.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)64.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 37.25%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 35.97%
    Draw 26.77%
SalisburyDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Salisbury
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Enfield Town 1-1 Salisbury
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 0-1 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Salisbury
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 0-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-3 Salisbury
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-7 Dorking
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-1 Weston
Monday, November 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-4 Hampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-5 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South


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