SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
37.25% ( 0.06) | 26.77% ( 0.01) | 35.97% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( -0.06) | 53.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% ( -0.05) | 74.98% ( 0.05) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0) | 27.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% ( 0.01) | 63.33% ( -0.01) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.07) | 28.52% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( -0.09) | 64.3% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.97% |
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