Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.
-1.18) 
0.36) 
