Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
