Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Sampdoria
48.52% ( 0.01)	24.69% ( -0.06)	26.8% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.29)

48.04% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

0.27)

70.2% (

-0.26)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

0.12)

19.85% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.06% (

0.19)

51.94% (

-0.19)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

0.2)

32.07% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

0.22)

68.54% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Palermo 48.52%

Sampdoria 26.8%

Draw 24.68%

Palermo	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 48.52%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.8%