Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.03) 
